The rise of dark web forum users & COVID
But the largest spike in forum membership occurred in March-May, 2020. The user base of these dark web forums rose by 44% from January until their peak in the spring, and at their peak, they included a total of approximately 268,000 unique monthly users. The number of users reverted subsequent to that peak.
The peak in users is aligned with the coronavirus lockdowns. Prior Bitsight reports have noted a tremendous uptick in specific types of cybercrime on the underground during the COVID lockdowns. This includes gaming store accounts, compromised RDP credentials, money laundering services, and narcotics. This research demonstrates that the number of participants in the cyber underground spiked at the time as well.
Why would coronavirus lockdowns lead to a massive increase in users of dark web forums? Some of these users were bored at home and decided to go exploring. Others may have been interested in turning to crime amid the economic shocks from the pandemic and the widely-covered proliferation of cybercrime targeting remote workers, such as ransomware and phishing.
How active are dark web forum users?
Next, we examined the frequency of posts, determining that a small minority of users was responsible for the vast majority of posts. The top 20 percent of frequent posters generated 73% of posts (which is more or less in line with what’s known as the Pareto Principle). Only 2.1% of users wrote more than 50 posts in half a year.
In our understanding, there are several reasons why so many actors post so infrequently: less experienced actors may come to the forum to learn, so they are mostly observing but not contributing. Or perhaps they wanted to dip their toes but then lost interest. Meanwhile, more experienced actors may create “burner” accounts, posting from a new username each time in order to maintain good operational security
By examining the number of users and activity per user in forums over time, this exercise results in several indicators that could be used to diagnose a forum’s health. Automating the analysis of these indicators can inform threat intelligence analysts which forums are on the rise.
Finally, we must emphasize that this research demonstrated that the overall user base of the underground is expanding. The COVID spike of users, correlated with the rise in cybercrime, proves this well: as the population of the dark web increases, so does broader criminal activity.
Why do people visit dark web forums?
People visit dark web forums for a variety of reasons, ranging from ethical to illicit. Cybersecurity researchers and journalists may use these forums to gather intelligence on emerging threats and cybercriminal activities. Privacy advocates and whistleblowers might use these platforms to share information and communicate securely. On the other hand, cybercriminals frequent dark web forums to trade illicit goods, recruit accomplices, and discuss hacking techniques.
Additionally, some users access these forums out of curiosity, particularly during major global events. For example, during the COVID-19 pandemic, there was a significant increase in forum activity, likely due to economic uncertainty and increased cybercrime opportunities. The anonymity provided by the dark web fosters an environment where users can freely exchange knowledge, regardless of their intentions.
Is it illegal to visit dark web sites?
Visiting dark web sites is not inherently illegal in most countries. The dark web itself is a part of the internet that requires specialized software, such as Tor, to access. It is used for both legitimate and illicit purposes. Many privacy-conscious individuals, journalists, activists, and researchers use the dark web to communicate securely and access information free from censorship.
However, engaging in illegal activities while on the dark web—such as purchasing stolen data, illicit drugs, or hacking tools—can result in legal consequences. Additionally, some jurisdictions may have laws that restrict access to certain types of content or tools used to browse the dark web. It is advisable to understand the legal framework in your country before accessing dark web sites.